Open Left:: Post-Clinch, Obama Builds Leads On McCain
In the two daily tracking polls for the general election, Gallup and Rasmussen, Barack Obama has shown significant, upward movement since he clinched the nomination on June 3rd. Here are the current standings in these two polls, with the immediate, pre-June 3rd results in parenthesis:
Obama: 48% (45%)
McCain: 42% (46%)
Obama: 50% (46%)
McCain: 44% (46%)
With only a 2% margin of error in each poll, both of these results are statistically significant. What’s more, Obama appears to be rising even faster following Hillary Clinton’s concession speech on Saturday than he rose from Wednesday through Friday. Since Clinton’s speech, despite only a two-day sample, Obama has gained 5% relative to McCain in Gallup, and 3% relative to McCain in Rasmussen. Cumulatively, that is more than half of Obama’s gain, despite only having a two-day sample (the tracking polls measure three days, according to both websites).